In the last game of the season the Leafs lost to Montreal and tied the season series with them 3-3. The Leafs beat or tied every team in their division in their season series and won the season series against the Western Conference (pretty notable given the Leafs aren’t great and the West dominates the East) so I wanted to see where the Leafs lost their points.
The Northeast Division:
The Leafs got 28 of a possible 48 points against their own division. Over 82 games that’s a 96 point pace. Not setting the league on fire but playing at a decent pace.
The Atlantic Division:
The Atlantic division played the Leafs pretty tough. 20 points out of a possible 40 is an 82 point pace over the season. This is a division the Leafs need to play better against in the future.
The Southeast Division:
Getting one point in four games against Tampa, four points in four games against Washington and not doing better against bottom feeders like Atlanta and Florida gives the Leafs only 19 points out of a possible 40 against the Southeast. This is a 78 point pace over the course of the season.
The Northwest Division:
The Leafs beat both American teams in the Northwest but only played them once. The Leafs then went 1-4-1 against the three Canadian teams in this division to finish on pace for 72 points against the Northwest.
The Central Division:
Facing what might be the toughest division in the NHL the Leafs went 2-3-0 to put them on pace for 66 points against this division over the course of a full season.
The Pacific Division:
The Leafs went 4-1-0 against the Pacific to finish on pace for 130 points against this division. Thank Reimer for that, it’s almost entirely his work.
There are three columns here; games played, point pace, and number of points needed in those played games to hit 93 points and grab a playoff spot in the East:
If it seems like those numbers are close, well, they are. Had the Leafs turned one regulation loss into a regulation win against the Atlantic, Southeast, Northwest and Central divisions they’d have finished with eight extra points and a playoff berth. Had they played better against the team in eight place (the Rangers) they’d likely have needed to convert only two regulation losses into wins.
Another season in the books, we’ll have a more emotional eulogy in the future.